The hottest offshore wind power target is difficul

The goal of offshore wind power is difficult to reach, and the wind power industry may repeat the photovoltaic industry "Mistakes

as an important part of strategic emerging industries and the technological commanding point of the development of wind power industry, China's offshore wind power is currently in the key stage of demonstration projects to scale development.

however, experts pointed out that due to the high cost and high risk of offshore wind power development, China has not yet formed a reasonable offshore wind power price policy, and it is still very difficult to achieve the goal of building 5million kW offshore wind power in the 12th Five Year Plan 。

not only that, although China has ranked first in the world in terms of wind power increment for four consecutive years, and has become the world's largest wind power country, it is also an indisputable fact that there is overcapacity in wind power. Therefore, some people inside and outside the industry are worried: will the wind power industry repeat the mistakes of photovoltaic and become the second photovoltaic industry

the goal will be difficult to achieve

at the 2013 Shanghai international offshore wind power and wind power industry chain conference and exhibition held on June 19 in what was once a closed industry, Yi Yuechun, deputy chief engineer of China Hydropower and water resources planning and Design Institute, believed that China's development and construction of offshore wind power has many favorable factors, including abundant offshore wind power resources, proximity to load centers, strong power consumption capacity The power generation cost of offshore wind power has been continuously reduced

according to Yi Yuechun, China is actively carrying out technical preparation, preliminary work and demonstration project construction for offshore wind power development, expanding the scale of offshore wind power construction in a timely and stable manner, and using the construction of concession bidding projects and pilot demonstration projects to drive the progress of offshore wind power technology and the upgrading of equipment manufacturing industry, so as to lay a solid foundation for the large-scale development and construction of offshore wind power

it is reported that by the end of 2012, China has completed a total of about 390000 kW of offshore wind power projects, which is the country with the largest installed capacity of offshore wind power except Britain and Denmark. At present, the preliminary work of 17 offshore wind power projects in China has been approved by the national energy administration, with a total installed capacity of 3.95 million KW, mainly distributed in Hebei, Jiangsu, Shanghai, Fujian, Guangdong, Zhejiang and other provinces and cities; There are also 28 offshore wind power projects that are seeking the approval of the national energy administration to carry out preliminary work, with a total installed capacity of 8.5 million KW

according to the 12th Five Year Plan, China's offshore wind power installed capacity will reach 5million kW by 2015

although the development prospect of offshore wind power in China is very broad, the actual situation is not optimistic

although the offshore wind ionization load center is close, the technical threshold and cost are still relatively high, and its investment cost is currently about twice that of onshore wind power. The cost of distributed photovoltaic power generation is another new challenge facing offshore wind power. Shi Pengfei, vice chairman of the wind energy professional committee of the China Renewable Energy Society, said that if the offshore wind power on-board price cannot be lower than the market red line, it is difficult to develop on a large scale

in addition to the issue of electricity price, Yi Yuechun pointed out that the unified management and coordination of China's offshore wind power construction also need to be strengthened. Offshore wind power development involves many fields. Various departments have different understandings on the development of offshore wind power, and the actual implementation and management standards of relevant functional departments in various regions are different, which increases the work cycle of offshore wind power projects in the early stage. Even though the 3.95 million KW offshore wind power projects that have been approved by the state for the preliminary work will be completed by 2015, it is very difficult to achieve the goal of building 5million kW offshore wind power in the 12th Five Year Plan

it is understood that at present, the cycle of sea area use demonstration permit, marine environmental impact assessment and navigation safety demonstration of China's offshore wind power projects generally takes more than two years

however, it is gratifying that the Chinese government has requested that the approval authority of new energy be delegated to local governments, which may speed up the approval process

the industry may follow the photovoltaic mistakes

although China has ranked first in the world in terms of wind power increment for four consecutive years, and has become the world's largest wind power country, it is also an indisputable fact that there is overcapacity in wind power

it is understood that the installed capacity of wind power in China was 18million kW in 2010, 17million kW in 2011 and 12million kW in 2012. A steep downward curve shows that the wind power industry is experiencing a cold wave. And overcapacity is also an indisputable fact: in 2012, China's installed capacity of wind power was 12million kW, but the capacity reached 30million kW. Therefore, some people inside and outside the industry are worried: will the wind power industry repeat the mistakes of photovoltaic and become the second photovoltaic industry

in this regard, experts at the meeting pointed out that China's wind power industry should be viewed in a dichotomy. Overcapacity is seen in ordinary life, but the way out will not be as tragic as photovoltaic

Shi Pengfei, President of the China Wind Energy Association, believes that there is no doubt about overcapacity, but what is more serious is the operation mechanism of the wind energy market. Now enterprises and departments are only concerned about immediate interests, and they value their achievements during their tenure. Therefore, when overcapacity leads to vicious competition becoming more and more intense, some low-quality wind energy equipment enters the market through low-cost competition, planting a curse for the wind energy industry

according to Liu Qi, deputy general manager of Shanghai Electric Wind Energy Co., Ltd., the wind power industry is now in full loss, and the more you do, the greater the loss. If this situation continues, the whole industry will collapse

for the current difficulties of wind power, Li Junfeng, director of the National Center for strategic research and international cooperation on climate change, believes that relevant national departments should speed up the construction of electricity, let wind power enter areas with strong demand, and implement support policies such as subsidies for wind power as soon as possible, so that enterprises can generate strong response capabilities to overcome the industrialization technology of high-performance fiber production, and truly form the strength of emerging industries

however, Jin Xiaolong, general manager of Shanghai Electric Wind Energy Co., Ltd., is not pessimistic about the wind power industry. He believes that there are three reasons: first, the photovoltaic industry mainly depends on the international market at present, and China's domestic demand for wind energy is very strong; Second, in recent years, the survival of the fittest is taking shape in the industry. A number of low-quality manufacturers are gradually out of the market. The number of wind power enterprises has decreased from more than 80 in the past to about 30. Both complete machine factories and component suppliers are facing integration; Third, wind power investment does not need to introduce the whole production line like photovoltaic. It belongs to the order economy. The whole machine is composed of gear boxes, motors and blades that must focus more on expanding the coal industry chain and developing non coal businesses. Therefore, the threshold is not high, and other investments except plant are small. This industrial structure will not cause large-scale backlog, and manufacturers will find another way to facilitate transformation